Solar activity for the period of January 17 - 23, 2014 :
 

Activity level      : mostly low to high
X-ray background 
flux (1.0-8.0 A)    : in the range of B2.0-C1.0
Radio flux (10,7 cm): a fluctuation in the range of
                      110-170 f.u.
Flares:     class C : 0-15/day
            class M : 0-5/period
            class X : 0-2period
Proton events       : 0-2/period
Rel. sunspot number : in the range of 40-145

Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
 

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period of January 17 to January 23, 2014:
 

The geomagnetic field will be:

  quiet on               January 19, 20 and 23
  quiet to unsettled on  January 21 and 22
  unsettled on           January 17 and 18
  active on              -
  minor storm on         -
  major storm on         -
  severe storm on        -

Geomagnetic activity summary:
The geomagnetic field was quiet  from January 10
to January 13 and January 15, quiet to unsettled
on January 9 and 14.

RWC Prague, Geophysical Institute Prague, Geomagnetic Dept., Czech Republic
 

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period of January 18 - February 12, 2014 :
 

The geomagnetic field will be:

  quiet on               January 18-21, 25, 27,
                         February 1, 7-9
  mostly quiet on        January 22, 24, 26, 31,
                         February 4 - 6, 12
  quiet to unsettled on  January 23, 30, 
                         February 2-3, 10-11
  quiet to active on     January 28
  active to disturbed on Janaury 29

Growing solar wind  may cause remarkable changes
in  the magnetosphere and in  the  ionosphere on
January 27-31, February 11-13.
Remarks:
Parenthesis mean a lower probability of activity
enhancement.
If until April 2014 (possible secondary maximum)
solar  activity  will  not  reach  a  similar or
higher  level  than in  November 2011, then 2012
will remain to be the maximum of the  24th cycle
(R = 70) - and vice versa.

F. K. Janda, OK1HH
Czech Propagation Interested Group
(OK1HH & OK1MGW, weekly forecasts since 1978)
 

P.I.G. Bulletin 140116 (issued January 22, 2014):
 

Solar and geomagnetic forecast for the period of
January 17, 2014 - February 12, 2014
================================================

Solar  activity  will  continue  to fluctuate at
solar flux levels of about 110-180 s.f.u. during
the next few weeks.
A common occurence of class C flares and of some
class M flares  is  expected, class X flares are
exceptionally possible.

The geomagnetic field will be:

  quiet on               January 18-21, 25, 27,
                         February 1, 7-9
  mostly quiet on        January 22, 24, 26, 31,
                         February 4-6, 12
  quiet to unsettled on  January 23, 30,
                         February 2-3, 10-11
  quiet to active on     January 28
  active to disturbed on January 29

Growing solar wind  may cause remarkable changes
in  the magnetosphere and in  the  ionosphere on
January 27-31 and February 11-13.
Remarks:
Parenthesis mean a lower probability of activity
enhancement.
If until April 2014 (possible secondary maximum)
solar  activity  will  not reach a  similar or a
higher level than the one of November 2011, then
February  2012  will  remain  the maximum of the
24th cycle (R = 70) - and vice versa.

F. K. Janda, OK1HH
Czech Propagation Interested Group
(OK1HH & OK1MGW, weekly forecasts since 1978)